At least one top 10 GDP country outlaws AI for private use by December 31, 2026
Basic
6
Ṁ2252026
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market tracks whether any country among the top 10 by nominal GDP implements a comprehensive ban on private AI use. Resolution will be based on official government legislation and announcements.
Resolution Criteria: Market resolves YES if any country in the top 10 by nominal GDP (as of market creation) passes legislation that explicitly prohibits private use of AI systems. General restrictions or partial bans do not qualify - the ban must prohibit private individuals from using AI systems broadly.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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