
At least one top 10 GDP country outlaws AI for private use by December 31, 2026
7
Ṁ100Ṁ275Dec 31
7%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market tracks whether any country among the top 10 by nominal GDP implements a comprehensive ban on private AI use. Resolution will be based on official government legislation and announcements.
Resolution Criteria: Market resolves YES if any country in the top 10 by nominal GDP (as of market creation) passes legislation that explicitly prohibits private use of AI systems. General restrictions or partial bans do not qualify - the ban must prohibit private individuals from using AI systems broadly.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027
29% chance
Will a country ban advanced AI systems before 2027?
18% chance
Significant legal restrictions on AI in the USA by June 2027
81% chance
Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2027?
22% chance
Will generative artificial intelligence be banned in at least one G7 country by the end of 2026?
15% chance
Will the US pass a federal AI law before Dec 31, 2026?
25% chance
Will at least 10 countries have some form of bans on language AI coded into law by 2027?
61% chance
Will any G7 country pass a mandatory AI-generated content labeling law before Dec 31, 2026?
34% chance
Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?
24% chance
Will any country forbid the ownership of AI Agents recognized as legal persons by 2030?
12% chance