Will Manifold beat the market in Q4? (equal weights)
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resolved Jan 4
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YES

Weighted equally, will the stocks submitted beat the S&P500 in Q4 2023?

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predicted NO

somehow, hard carried by LQDA, Manifold's stock picks in the main market grew by 9.72% in q4 vs the 5.63% of the S&P500. See the main market linked in description for breakdown