Will Manifold beat the market in Q4? (equal weights)

5

130Ṁ50

resolved Jan 4

Resolved

YES

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Weighted equally, will the stocks submitted beat the S&P500 in Q4 2023?

Manifold Trades

New Year's Resolutions 2024

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ9
2		Ṁ0

Sort by:

predictedNO

somehow, hard carried by LQDA, Manifold's stock picks in the main market grew by 9.72% in q4 vs the 5.63% of the S&P500. See the main market linked in description for breakdown

People are also trading

Will Manifold have a numerical market type by June 1, 2025?

-4% 1d10% chance

Will Manifold achieve break-even profitability in 2025?

Manifold offers market recommendations in 2025?

In the 2024 US election, will Manifold be within the top 25% accuracy among all large prediction markets?

Will Manifold stop having obviously wrong probabilities on markets with >=50 traders by the end of 2024?

Will Manifold be profitable before 2030?

Is Manifold the best prediction market?

Related questions

Will Manifold have a numerical market type by June 1, 2025?

Will Manifold achieve break-even profitability in 2025?

Manifold offers market recommendations in 2025?

In the 2024 US election, will Manifold be within the top 25% accuracy among all large prediction markets?

Will Manifold stop having obviously wrong probabilities on markets with >=50 traders by the end of 2024?

Will Manifold be profitable before 2030?

Is Manifold the best prediction market?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules