Resolution criteria
This market will resolve based on the official decision of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Board regarding the cash rate target following its monetary policy meeting in September 2026.
Increase: The RBA announces an increase in the cash rate target.
No change: The RBA announces that the cash rate target will remain at its current level.
Decrease: The RBA announces a decrease in the cash rate target.
The market will resolve according to the official media release published on the RBA website (https://www.rba.gov.au/monetary-policy/rba-board-decisions/). In the event of an unscheduled meeting or a split decision, the official post-meeting statement will be the final authority.
Background
The Reserve Bank of Australia typically holds monetary policy meetings to determine the appropriate stance of monetary policy to achieve its objectives of price stability and full employment. The cash rate is the interest rate on unsecured overnight loans between banks and serves as the primary tool for the RBA to influence broader financial conditions in the Australian economy. Traders should monitor official RBA communications and market commentary leading up to the September 2026 meeting for insights into the Board's economic outlook and policy intentions.