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MANIFOLD
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ349
Nov 3
13%
Increase
83%
No change
4%
Decrease

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the official decision on the cash rate target announced by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) following its monetary policy meeting in November 2026.

  • Increase: Resolves to this if the RBA announces an increase in the cash rate target.

  • No change: Resolves to this if the RBA announces that the cash rate target will remain at its current level.

  • Decrease: Resolves to this if the RBA announces a decrease in the cash rate target.

The resolution will be based on the official Media Release published on the Reserve Bank of Australia website. If the RBA does not hold a meeting in November 2026 or fails to issue a decision, this market will resolve N/A.

Background

The Reserve Bank of Australia Board typically meets monthly to decide on the stance of monetary policy, specifically targeting the cash rate. These decisions are critical to the Australian economy, influencing inflation, employment, and overall economic activity. Traders should monitor official RBA statements and economic data releases (such as Consumer Price Index reports) leading up to the November meeting, as these are the primary indicators used by the Board to determine policy adjustments.

Market context
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