Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the outcome of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) Board meeting scheduled for August 2026, based on the official announcement released by the RBA.

• Increase: Resolves YES if the RBA announces an increase to the official cash rate.

• No change: Resolves YES if the RBA announces the cash rate will remain at its current level.

• Decrease: Resolves YES if the RBA announces a reduction to the official cash rate.

The market will resolve based on the information provided in the RBA's official "Statement by Monetary Policy Decision" issued on the day of the August 2026 meeting, available at https://www.rba.gov.au/monetary-policy/rba-board-minutes/. If the meeting is canceled or rescheduled outside of August 2026, the market will resolve N/A.

Background

The Reserve Bank of Australia sets the official cash rate to meet its inflation and employment mandates. Traders should monitor the RBA's economic outlook, consumer price index (CPI) data, and labor market reports leading up to the August meeting, as these factors heavily influence the Board's decision-making process. The RBA typically holds board meetings monthly, except in January.