Will WW3 directly cause over 500M civilian casualties?
4
141Ṁ1402100
52%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to the best estimate of experts that is accepted by western mainstream media 5 years after the end of the war.
If "western" doesn't make sense because of a new geopolitical order, this market will resolve according to the consensus of the media of the biggest country (by population).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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