This market will resolve to whatever share the person who bets the greatest amount in the linked market ends up buying.
Basic
5
Ṁ68resolved Sep 30
Resolved as
46%1D
1W
1M
ALL
If this person ends up betting anonymously, it is impossible to tell if two bets were actually the same, so if the text says "x users spent M$y on YES/NO", then I will use the number y/x. If the person who bet the greatest amount bet equal amounts for YES and NO, then, in honor of Twosday, if the market volume is an even number, this will resolve YES, and otherwise it will resolve NO.
https://manifold.markets/GarrettBaker/this-question-will-resolve-based-on
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@nikki yeah, I guess this is not worth the effort figuring out the correct resolution, considering the amount of mana bet here.
nvm, getting a bug when I resolve N/A, resolving to market instead.
@Agh I want to reserve the right to resolve to the correct figure later if someone like me calculates it.
@Eliza @GarrettBaker I can collect all the data you need and/or analyze it, but I need someone to explain how the anonymous bit worked.