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MANIFOLD
Will Russia deliver the promised 4.8 billion tons of diesel?
2
Ṁ1kṀ5
Jan 31
50%
chance

Donald Trump has claimed that 4.8 billion tons of diesel will be delivered by Russia over the next few months. Will this happen?

Resolves based on my personal understanding. Because the statement was very loose ("American and Global Marketplace", "within a short period of time", "based on the condition of their Diesel Refineries"), the actually specific criteria (300,000 tons of diesel in October, 500,000 tons in November, 1,000,000 tons in December, 3,000,000 tons soon after) will be required tightly.

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