Will Russia decide to stop delivering gas to Europe before the end of March?

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resolved Apr 1

Resolved

NO

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A longer term version of https://manifold.markets/EmanuelRylke/will-russia-stop-delivering-gas-to Only resolves YES if Russia decides to stop the gas, not if the gas stops flowing because of sanctions or because Russian banks are unable to receive payment.

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sold Ṁ20 of YES

may happen but unlikely to happen before April

bought Ṁ5 of YES

deliberate typo (and not very accurate joke as USD to RUB recovered in large part)

bought Ṁ5 of NO

Payment in rubble? Either a typo by M, or a very dark rumor indeed....

bought Ṁ20 of YES

they started to make noises about demanding payment in rubble

bought Ṁ65 of NO

Increasing the ante (2/2)

bought Ṁ50 of YES

Increasing the ante (1/2)

Related questions

Will Russia end it's invasion of Ukraine before the Olympics end?

Will Russia run out of money?

Will the NATO attack Russia by the end of February?

Will EU try to buy more than 10% of its yearly gas consumption from Russia in 2023?

Related questions

Will Russia end it's invasion of Ukraine before the Olympics end?

Will the NATO attack Russia by the end of February?

Will Russia run out of money?

Will EU try to buy more than 10% of its yearly gas consumption from Russia in 2023?