2

Will Ron DeSantis announce that he is running for president before June 1, 2023?

90

resolved May 24

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Currently Ron DeSantis, governor of Florida, is expected to run for president in 2024. However he has yet to announce an official campaign. Will he do so before June?

Resolves based on multiple news articles being published with titles like "Ron DeSantis Announces Run for President". Just a filing alone is not sufficient (someone other than Mike Pence filed for him to run back in December).

Presidential Politics

2024 US Presidential Election

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1	Jack	Ṁ883
2	Joshua	Ṁ576
3	Martin Randall	Ṁ354
4	The Oracle	Ṁ335
5	Nico D	Ṁ175

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evergreenpredicted YES

This is gonna be a long, exhausting year.

Nico Dpredicted YES at 78%

For arbitrage

Luke Hankspredicted NO at 74%

Why did this jump up from 42% to 72% in the past day?

Nico Dpredicted YES at 74%

@LukeHanks See discussion https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-ron-desantis-announce-he-is-se?r=Tmljb0RlbG9u

Robertas Strumila bought Ṁ100 YES at 99.0%

Benjamin Shindel sold Ṁ52 YES at 99.0%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 99.0%

Jack filled limit order Ṁ2,994/Ṁ3,000 YES at 99.0%

Vortex bought Ṁ5 NO at 98.8%

JRP bought Ṁ10 YES at 98.8%

Derik K bought Ṁ5 NO at 98.8%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 98.8%

Erick Ball bought Ṁ100 YES at 98.8%

Jack sold Ṁ6,475 YES from 99.2% to 98.8%

Johnny Ten-Numbers bought Ṁ10 NO from 99.3% to 99.2%

Johnny Ten-Numbers bought Ṁ70 NO from 99.6% to 99.3%

The Oracle bought Ṁ30,273 YES from 97% to 99.6%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 97%

NamesAreHard bought Ṁ1,000 YES from 96% to 97%

NamesAreHard bought Ṁ1,000 YES from 95% to 96%

Dan sold Ṁ47 NO from 94% to 95%

Benjamin Shindel bought Ṁ50 YES at 94%

Espoand bought Ṁ100 YES at 94%

evergreen bought Ṁ20 YES at 94%

Jack sold Ṁ1,415 YES from 95% to 94%

Jack filled limit order Ṁ495/Ṁ500 YES at 94%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 95%

Jack filled limit order Ṁ1,150/Ṁ1,300 YES at 95% (cancelled)

Vortex bought Ṁ2 NO at 94%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 94%

Nico D bought Ṁ150 YES at 93%

nacho sold Ṁ4 NO at 93%

Andrew G bought Ṁ10 YES at 93%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ86/Ṁ100 NO at 93% (cancelled)

Crab sold Ṁ162 NO from 91% to 95%

Crab bought Ṁ50 NO from 92% to 91%

Crab bought Ṁ50 NO from 94% to 92%

Vortex sold Ṁ0 NO at 94%

Ryo bought Ṁ4 NO at 94%

nacho bought Ṁ4 NO at 94%

Jack sold Ṁ470 YES at 94%

Jack bought Ṁ1,000 YES from 93% to 94%

Johnny Ten-Numbers sold Ṁ81 NO from 91% to 93%

Nico D bought Ṁ200 YES from 90% to 91%

Dan sold Ṁ10 NO at 90%

Dan sold Ṁ24 NO from 89% to 90%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ49/Ṁ100 NO at 89% (cancelled)

Dan bought Ṁ100 NO from 93% to 90%

Dan sold Ṁ1,029 YES from 95% to 93%

evergreen bought Ṁ9 YES at 95%

Vortex bought Ṁ5 NO at 95%

Marius Caciulescu bought Ṁ10 NO at 95%

Darj sold Ṁ22 YES at 95%

Mark Ingraham sold Ṁ79 NO from 93% to 95%

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