Will oil cost more than $100/barrel before 2030?
18
185
330
2029
97%
chance

Political commentators have recently speculated that the combination of the Russo-Ukrainian War and the growth of electric vehicles will mean a decline of oil prices into the future. Will that happen?

To quantify this, will the price of oil, defined by WTI crude prices (https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=wti) reach $100/barrel before January 1, 2030?

For one example discussion, see https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/the-reverse-opec-maneuver.

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bought Ṁ395 of YES

This is like 99.9% yes.