Will oil cost more than $100/barrel before 2030?
22
Ṁ1kṀ15kresolved Mar 8
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Political commentators have recently speculated that the combination of the Russo-Ukrainian War and the growth of electric vehicles will mean a decline of oil prices into the future. Will that happen?
To quantify this, will the price of oil, defined by WTI crude prices (https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=wti) reach $100/barrel before January 1, 2030?
For one example discussion, see https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/the-reverse-opec-maneuver.
Update 2025-04-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Price Basis Clarification:
The price is measured in nominal dollars and is not inflation adjusted.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ359 | |
| 2 | Ṁ227 | |
| 3 | Ṁ215 | |
| 4 | Ṁ28 | |
| 5 | Ṁ23 |
People are also trading
Will WTI crude oil cost more than $150/barrel before June? (According to investing.com)
36% chance
Will WTI Crude Oil close below $85.00/barrel on March 31, 2026?
32% chance
Will the price of oil reach $150 before the end of 2026?
41% chance
Will Brent crude oil drop below $100 per barrel by April 30, 2026?
54% chance
Will the world reach peak oil production before 2030?
73% chance
Will Brent crude close above 100/barrel at the end of the following months?
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will WTI crude oil cost more than $150/barrel before June? (According to investing.com)
36% chance
Will WTI Crude Oil close below $85.00/barrel on March 31, 2026?
32% chance
Will the price of oil reach $150 before the end of 2026?
41% chance
Will Brent crude oil drop below $100 per barrel by April 30, 2026?
54% chance
Will the world reach peak oil production before 2030?
73% chance
Will Brent crude close above 100/barrel at the end of the following months?