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MANIFOLD
What party will win the 2024 US presidential elections? / Will student visas be restricted before 2029?
15
Ṁ1kṀ7.6k
resolved May 22
100%76%
Republican / visas restricted
1.1%
Democrat / visas restricted
1.5%
Democrat / visas not restricted
21%
Republican / visas not restricted

Resolves based on general reporting that visas are being restricted. Examples that would make it resolve YES, if they took effect, include

Can resolve early to a visas-restricted outcome, will resolve at the end of 2028 for a visas-not-restricted outcome.

Resolves to N/A if a president not affiliated with Democrats or Republicans is elected in the 2024 elections.

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Also effective January 1, 2026, at 12:01 a.m. EST, in line with Presidential Proclamation 10998 on “Restricting and Limiting the Entry of Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States,” the Department of State partially suspended visa issuance to nationals of 19 countries – Angola, Antigua and Barbuda, Benin, Burundi, Cote D’Ivoire, Cuba, Dominica, Gabon, The Gambia, Malawi, Mauritania, Nigeria, Senegal, Tanzania, Togo, Tonga, Venezuela, Zambia, and Zimbabwe – for nonimmigrant B-1/B-2 visitor visas and F, M, J student and exchange visitor visas, and all immigrant visas

https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/News/visas-news/suspension-of-visa-issuance-to-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states.html

opened a Ṁ200 YES at 30% order

Limit order for 200 mana up at 30%