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MANIFOLD
Which party will the winner of the 2028 US Presidential Election be from?
55
Ṁ1kṀ6.4k
2028
38%
Republican Party
61%
Democratic Party
0.6%
Other

  • Update 2025-02-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Resolution Criteria:

    • No Election Scenario: If a US Presidential Election does not occur and everyone is still alive, all Mana will be refunded.

    • Major Global Conflict (WW3): If the world is in a state of widespread conflict (e.g. WW3) or significant disruptions occur, one of the moderators will resolve the market.

Market context
US Politics
Politics
Trump
Republican Party
2028 US presidential election
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filled a Ṁ7 YES at 50% order

Arb:

https://manifold.markets/market/which-party-will-win-the-2028-us-pr-E8CyqPtIAN

https://manifold.markets/market/which-political-party-wins-the-us-p-nUsCQcZ6Lc

I hate that I have to ask, but what happens if there's no election?

@WilliamGunn If we are all still alive, will refund Mana. If we are all dead/fighting in WW3, then one of the mods can resolve it

@PrijwalNaidu May none of that come to pass!

Another fun Poll: https://manifold.markets/PrijwalNaidu/will-the-winner-of-the-2028-us-pres-5EEuSZChh8

I will not vote on this poll. Essentially the winner is whichever party wins the 2028 Election. If many requests come through for other parties I will add them.

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