Will U.S. Army Col. Karl Nell ever claim under oath that aliens exist?
Basic
4
Ṁ110
2025
22%
chance

Context

Retired Army Colonel Karl Nell has recently made significant claims regarding nonhuman intelligence (referred to as 'aliens' for the purposes of this market), asserting that such intelligence exists and has been interacting with humanity for centuries. During the May 2024 SALT iConnections conference in New York, Nell stated that there is "zero doubt" about these interactions, which he claims have been acknowledged by certain government officials. Nell emphasized the need for greater transparency, warning that continued secrecy could lead to catastrophic societal and global security consequences. His assertions align with those of other former officials, such as David Grusch and Lue Elizondo, both of whom have similarly claimed that governments are concealing information about nonhuman intelligence and UAP (Unidentified Aerial Phenomena) interactions.

Nell's background includes serving as a director of the Pentagon's Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP) Task Force, where he investigated anomalous phenomena. He has suggested that there are individuals within governments who are aware of these interactions but have not disclosed them due to concerns about national security and potential social disruption. Nell's statements build upon claims made by David Grusch in 2023 during his testimony to lawmakers, in which Grusch alleged the existence of covert programs for UAP retrieval and reverse engineering. Similarly, Lue Elizondo, a former director of the Advanced Aerospace Threat Identification Program (AATIP), has also pushed for transparency regarding alleged UAP retrieval programs, even pointing to specific incidents and efforts by various governments to keep these matters classified.

In his new book, "Imminent," Lue Elizondo suggests that humanity's rapid technological evolution over the past eighty years coincides with an increase in UAP activity, hinting that these phenomena may be observing or concerned by human advancements. Elizondo also described three possible intentions of nonhuman intelligence: benevolent, neutral, or malevolent—and highlighted their potential consequences for humanity. He has presented cases, including alleged historic UAP crashes, as evidence supporting his claims, and has been actively involved in advocating for disclosure, which has added momentum to the broader push for transparency regarding nonhuman intelligence [[[https://www.liberationtimes.com/](https://www.liberationtimes.com/)][https://declassifyuap.org/](https://www.liberationtimes.com/]\[https://declassifyuap.org/)].

The growing interest in UAPs has led to recent hearings by lawmakers and the formation of cross-party initiatives, with officials seeking greater oversight of UAP-related activities. Figures like Senator Kirsten Gillibrand in the United States and members of parliamentary bodies in other countries have played instrumental roles in pushing for more transparency and inquiries on these issues. According to reports, there are expectations for further hearings later this year, driven by a desire for greater accountability from government entities involved in the UAP investigation.

Sources

- Nell's statements at the SALT iConnections conference were covered in media outlets, highlighting his call for transparency and warnings of the dangers of continued secrecy [[[https://www.abovethenormnews.com/](https://www.abovethenormnews.com/)][https://www.soundofheart.org/galactic-free-press/blogs/adigaia/senior-military-officer-states-there-zero-doubt-non-human-intelligence-interacting](https://www.abovethenormnews.com/]\[https://www.soundofheart.org/galactic-free-press/blogs/adigaia/senior-military-officer-states-there-zero-doubt-non-human-intelligence-interacting)]

- Lue Elizondo's insights from his book "Imminent" were also discussed in various outlets, elaborating on his claims about UAP retrieval and nonhuman intelligence [[[https://www.liberationtimes.com/](https://www.liberationtimes.com/)][https://declassifyuap.org/](https://www.liberationtimes.com/]\[https://declassifyuap.org/)]

- Recent developments in efforts to address UAP issues have added further context to the ongoing push for transparency [[https://declassifyuap.org/](https://declassifyuap.org/)]

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on whether Retired Army Colonel Karl Nell makes his claims regarding nonhuman intelligence under oath in a formal setting, such as a hearing by lawmakers or other official inquiry. The resolution will be determined by (note: the market closing will be extended as much as needed):

  1. Testimony Under Oath: If Nell testifies in front of a legislative body or any official entity under oath regarding his claims about nonhuman intelligence, the market will resolve to "Yes."

  2. No Testimony Under Oath: If Nell does not testify under oath before his death, the market will resolve to "No."

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