Background

Donald Trump has a history of criticizing judges and the judiciary when their decisions don't align with his preferences. During his first term, Trump frequently took to social media and public appearances to criticize judges who ruled against his administration's policies.

Chief Justice John Roberts, appointed by President George W. Bush in 2005, has occasionally pushed back against Trump's characterization of the judiciary. In 2018, Roberts issued a rare public statement defending judicial independence after Trump criticized an "Obama judge" for ruling against his asylum policy.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to YES if, during his second presidential term (January 20, 2025 - January 20, 2029), Donald Trump publicly disparages Chief Justice John Roberts in any of the following ways:

• Direct criticism on social media platforms

• Negative comments about Roberts during speeches, rallies, or interviews

• Derogatory nicknames or characterizations of Roberts

• Questioning Roberts' competence, integrity, or impartiality

The market will resolve to NO if Trump completes his second term without any such public disparagement of Chief Justice Roberts.

Considerations

• The Supreme Court may rule on cases directly affecting Trump or his administration during his second term, which could potentially influence his public statements about Roberts.

• If Roberts retires or leaves the Court during Trump's second term, the market will still resolve based on any disparagement that occurs while both are in their respective positions.