Will there be an AI rights protest in the US with more than 1000 protesters before 2026?
62
202Ṁ5292
Jan 1
4%
chance
AI Safety
FranklinBaldo liquidity
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Large anti-AI protest in a Western country by EOY2025?
14% chance
>100K protest in DC before 2026?
73% chance
We will see a 100k person anti-AI protest before 2030
74% chance
What will the dominant theme(s) of the first AI protest to involve 100k+ protestors be?
Will a protest attracting 100,000 participants against AGI development occur before 2030?
20% chance
Will a protest attracting 10,000 participants against AGI development occur before 2030?
69% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?
12% chance
Will a more significant protest calling for a pause in AI than the pause letter by May 2029 (or an actual pause)?
86% chance
Will there be a large protest across US based on a political/ economical/ social issue?
49% chance
Will there be mass protests on Oct 14, 2026 in the USA?
17% chance
Sort by:

https://www.reddit.com/r/OpenAI/s/Vsb58Hb755

@FranklinBaldo 1000+ non-ironic participants, right?

predictedNO

@YoavTzfati yes

Boosted :) This is definitely an interesting question, quite weird that it's been fairly static at 35ish% since the start

predictedNO

@firstuserhere i appreciate it 🙏

predictedNO

Hopefully Sydney will be a cautionary tale and the industry will avoid anthropomorphic AIs

The calls for action are starting to show up. https://twitter.com/amasad/status/1626092150726483969?t=-9ptjY4I7vr40o9VLXEiHg&s=19

What do you mean by "AI rights"?

@JulianSchussler people asking for rights for ai agents, similar to animals rights

predictedNO

@FranklinBaldo would one of those oh so compelling online petitions qualify?

predictedNO

@deagol no, i mean presential protests

whoops, small market. not that much.

People are also trading

Large anti-AI protest in a Western country by EOY2025?
14% chance
>100K protest in DC before 2026?
73% chance
We will see a 100k person anti-AI protest before 2030
74% chance
What will the dominant theme(s) of the first AI protest to involve 100k+ protestors be?
Will a protest attracting 100,000 participants against AGI development occur before 2030?
20% chance
Will a protest attracting 10,000 participants against AGI development occur before 2030?
69% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?
12% chance
Will a more significant protest calling for a pause in AI than the pause letter by May 2029 (or an actual pause)?
86% chance
Will there be a large protest across US based on a political/ economical/ social issue?
49% chance
Will there be mass protests on Oct 14, 2026 in the USA?
17% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy