Will there be a significant retraction to the AARO 2024 UAP report before 2030?
Basic
4
Ṁ1532030
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The AARO report, which concluded no verifiable evidence of extraterrestrial activity in UAP sightings, has been met with skepticism from some quarters, including claims of oversight and the exclusion of critical data. Participants should consider the possibility of emerging evidence, public pressure, and governmental or scientific scrutiny that might influence the AARO to revisit and potentially alter its conclusions. This market provides an avenue to predict the evolving narrative surrounding UAP investigations and the transparency of government disclosures on such phenomena.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Which of David Grusch's claims about a "UAP Crash Retrieval Program" will seem >50% likely to be true before 2025?
Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?
80% chance
Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030
35% chance
Will we get ASI before 2033?
53% chance
Will the DoD confirm they have recovered and currently retain intact UAPs not of terrestrial origin by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will we get ASI before 2034?
55% chance
Will we get ASI before 2036?
65% chance
Will there be a fatal space accident before 2030?
52% chance
Will we get ASI before 2032?
20% chance
Commercial civilian autonomous flights by EOY 2040?
55% chance