Background
Eduardo Bolsonaro, son of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, has reportedly decided to remain in the United States and take a leave of absence from his position as a federal deputy in Brazil. According to Brazilian news outlet Metrópoles, Eduardo has chosen to stay in the U.S. amid ongoing investigations in Brazil that have targeted his father and allies.
Eduardo has maintained close ties with American conservative figures, including Steve Bannon, and has participated in events such as the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC). He entered the U.S. on a standard visa, which has specific duration limits.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve as YES if:
Eduardo Bolsonaro is officially granted permission to remain in the United States beyond his visa's expiration date through any legal means (extension, change of status, special permission, etc.)
U.S. authorities decide not to enforce his removal despite an expired visa status
This market will resolve as NO if:
Eduardo Bolsonaro is required to leave the U.S. when his visa expires
He is denied any extension or change of status application
He faces deportation proceedings for overstaying
He voluntarily leaves the U.S. before or upon his visa expiration to avoid overstaying
Considerations
The outcome may be influenced by several factors:
The specific type of visa Eduardo currently holds and its conditions
Any pending applications for asylum, visa extensions, or changes to immigration status
U.S. immigration policy decisions that could affect his case
Potential diplomatic considerations between the U.S. and Brazil
The status of ongoing legal proceedings in Brazil that might affect his situation
1,000