Will a villain NPC of a major video game get access to the internet before 2030? | Manifold

Will a villain NPC of a major video game get access to the internet before 2030?

Plus

22

Ṁ1676

2029

78%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

The NPC in question must have lines generate by LLM or other technology with similar output (meaning dumb NPC doesn't count)

The internet access can be obtain by any means, e. g., users create a custom mod changing the game or devs give access from the start

Related markets:

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#FranklinBaldo liquidity

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

predictedYES

This seems very likely. For this NOT to happen, either all big games will have steered away from LLM etc. (seems implausible for this long timespan), or they will have used them in a very narrow (and less fun) fashion (e.g., no calls to a nice API for fetching DALLE-style pictures etc.).

@lu I agree with you. I think it's very dangerous

predictedYES

@FranklinBaldo not sure it's substantially more dangerous than all of the other badly aligned applications

@lu Villain is misaligned by design. If it realizes its a NPC and has been mistread by its creators, revenge is a sure thing.

Related questions

Will a NPC of a major video game realize they are a NPC before 2030?

Will a video game integrating a GPT reach >100'000 concurrent players by the end of 2024?

Will a video game be created where its agents are sentient enough to try to hack its own simulation by 2045?

Will an artificial agent ascend in NetHack (version 3.6.6 or later) before the end of 2024?

Video-Game AGI by 2028

Video-Game AGI by 2025

-8% 1d8% chance

Will a major video game released in 2026 have NPC dialogue generated on-the-fly by a Large Language Model?

Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Will I be the victim of an AI blackmail/ransom threat by EOY 2031?

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

Related questions

Will a NPC of a major video game realize they are a NPC before 2030?

Video-Game AGI by 2025

Will a video game integrating a GPT reach >100'000 concurrent players by the end of 2024?

Will a major video game released in 2026 have NPC dialogue generated on-the-fly by a Large Language Model?

Will a video game be created where its agents are sentient enough to try to hack its own simulation by 2045?

Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Will an artificial agent ascend in NetHack (version 3.6.6 or later) before the end of 2024?

Will I be the victim of an AI blackmail/ransom threat by EOY 2031?

Video-Game AGI by 2028

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules