Will a NPC of a major video game realize they are a NPC before 2030?

Question

It need to be unintented by the game designers.

Related markets:

[markets](https://manifold.markets/embed/FranklinBaldo/will-a-villain-npc-of-a-major-video)Mar 2, 4:34pm: Will a NPC of a major video game realize it is a NPC before 2030? → Will a NPC of a major video game realize they are a NPC before 2030?

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 48% chance (56 traders, as of Jun 24, 2026).