In 2028, Will it be obvious that software engineers aren't being 10x more productive than in 2022?
98
188Ṁ10k2028
40%
chance
14
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1620617483358212098?t=2bv5RVQsLz1S-e8KNB25tw&s=09
Close date updated to 2028-01-31 7:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the software engineer's salaries/ per capita GDP ratio be lower in 2026 than in 2022, per Levels.fyi?
51% chance
Will the number of human engineers in front end dev jobs be halved by 2025?
6% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate equivalent to ~=200 man years of effort towards a software 1.0 given a prompt?
24% chance
Will I find AI to negatively impact my job opportunities as a coder by 2032?
83% chance
Will the unemployment rate for software engineers exceed 6% by September 30, 2025?
26% chance
Will 90% of programmers mostly sit while working in 2029?
96% chance
Will software Web developers be a lower percentage of the workforce in the US in 2030 compared to 2022 ?
69% chance
Will the bureau of labor report that there were more computer programmers in the US in 2030 than 2023?
2% chance