RAS2026: Will One Battle After Another gather more Oscars nominations than Marty Supreme?
12
100Ṁ729Jan 21
85%
chance
21
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This RAS2026 market closes on 21 January 2026 (or when the nominations are announced by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, whichever is earlier). Resolves to yes, if One Battle After Another shows up in more Oscars categories than Marty Supreme. Oscars shortlists are posted on oscars.org/news.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
"One Battle After Another" wins Best Picture?
82% chance
'One Battle After Another' wins Best Picture Oscar?
81% chance
Will there be a surprising Best Picture nomination? (2026 Oscars)
35% chance
Does One Battle After Another have what it takes to win Best Picture at the 98th Oscars?
79% chance
Which movies will win an Oscar? (2026)