"One Battle After Another" wins Best Picture?
8
1kแน€1040
2026
67%
chance

Resolves YES if "One Battle After Another" (2025) wins the Best Picture Oscar at the Academy Awards.

This market may close before the Oscars ceremony begins.

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แน€1,000
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bought แน€200 YES

This market is & will be somewhat duplicative with all the other multiple choice markets for best picture, but real money markets have OBBA as an unusually large early favorite, so it's convenient to have a simple binary market to track (and if it becomes an overwhelming favorite, it's most efficient for liquidity to use binary, so it's useful to have this market lying around, even if I usually make a high liquidity dependent MC after noms are announced).

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