Will the next Pope be a Black man?
100
1kṀ20kresolved May 8
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve YES, if the next pope selected is a black person.
Close date updated to 2030-01-01 1:01 am
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ249 | |
| 2 | Ṁ193 | |
| 3 | Ṁ118 | |
| 4 | Ṁ114 | |
| 5 | Ṁ90 |
People are also trading
On which continent will the next Pope to be born (meaning, as yet unborn) be born?
Will Black Smoke come from the Papal Conclave on May 18?
1% chance
Will one of the next 10 popes be black?
75% chance
Depending on who the next Pope is, will he be based?
Will the next pope be gay?
1% chance
Who will be the next pope after Leo XIV?
Will the next pope be based?
12% chance
Will LeBron James be chosen as the next pope?
1% chance
How many conclaves will occur before a pope of sub-Saharan African origin is elected?
Which country will the next Pope following Pope Leo XIV be from?
Sort by:
@FranekZak Wait, he's of African descent, shouldn't this resolve YES?
@evan I think not, a small bit of ancestry does not change that he presents and is seen as a white person. This market was deliberately under-specified to be able to rely on subjective judgement.
People are also trading
Related questions
On which continent will the next Pope to be born (meaning, as yet unborn) be born?
Will Black Smoke come from the Papal Conclave on May 18?
1% chance
Will one of the next 10 popes be black?
75% chance
Depending on who the next Pope is, will he be based?
Will the next pope be gay?
1% chance
Who will be the next pope after Leo XIV?
Will the next pope be based?
12% chance
Will LeBron James be chosen as the next pope?
1% chance
How many conclaves will occur before a pope of sub-Saharan African origin is elected?
Which country will the next Pope following Pope Leo XIV be from?