Will the next Pope be a Black man? | Manifold

Will the next Pope be a Black man?

40

417

Ṁ3.2K

Ṁ674

2030

11%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market will resolve YES, if the next pope selected is a black person.

Close date updated to 2030-01-01 1:01 am

Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicts NO

note: this market will resolve when the next pope is selected. Sorry it closed early - when I created it I wasn't really familiar with manifold.

predicts NO

@FranekZak You can reopen it by clicking the close date.

predicts NO

@NcyRocks Thanks. Market reopened.

predicts NO

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Will Trump's VP pick be a white male?

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Will the Republican nominee for Vice President be a white man?

Will there be another non-white President of the United States before the end of 2032?

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Will the next new apostle in the LDS church be of non-US nationality?

Religion questions

What percentage of Manifold users will report that they've held a Christian Bible in their lifetime?

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Related questions

Will Trump's VP pick be a white male?

Will Trump’s VP pick be a white man?

Will one of the next 10 popes be black?

Will the Republican nominee for Vice President be a white man?

On which continent will the next Pope be born?

Will there be another non-white President of the United States before the end of 2032?

On which continent will the next Pope to be born (meaning, as yet unborn) be born?

When will a new Catholic pope be elected after Francis?

What will the first Catholic pope after Francis call himself?

Will the next new apostle in the LDS church be of non-US nationality?