Will Jonathan Majors be found guilty of assault?

19

99

Ṁ18K

Ṁ350

resolved Dec 19

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Jonathan Majors, an actor best known for his roles in Marvel movies, Creed, Lovecraft County, and The Last Black Man In San Francisco, has been charged with assault in NYC. His lawyer says he's innocent. If he pleads or is found guilty, market resolves YES, if found not guilty or charges dropped, NO.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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bought Ṁ14,000 of YES

Will resolve YES sometime tomorrow morning. (Working the graveyard shift and only have access to this account at home)

bought Ṁ100 of YES

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/18/nyregion/jonathan-majors-trial-verdict.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

bought Ṁ30 of NO

Perhaps I'm being naive but the Majors' lawyer seems extremely confident that they have solid evidence on this case. Market seems overvalued at first glance given that?

Am I missing something?

predicted YES

@AshleyDaviesLyons Not as far as I can see, I mean the biggest yes better is arbitrage bot, and I'm only buying yes to arbitrage this other market:

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Will JF be legally convicted of a crime relating to his wife?

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Will someone be convicted for incidents related to the death of Jordan Neely?

Will a jury convict Trump?

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of a crime before Alec Baldwin?

Will Alec Baldwin be found Not Guilty in his upcoming criminal trial for the movie set shooting death?

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Will Alec Baldwin be found guilty of involuntary manslaughter by July 1, 2025?

Will Alec Baldwin be found guilty of a crime before Hunter Biden?

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Law & Order questions

Will Harvey Weinstein be re-convicted in NY?

Will Trump perjure himself during his NY fraud trial?

Related questions

Will JF be legally convicted of a crime relating to his wife?

Will Alec Baldwin be found Not Guilty in his upcoming criminal trial for the movie set shooting death?

Will the cop who shot Nahel M. be found guilty of homicide?

Will Manchester City be found guilty?

Will someone be convicted for incidents related to the death of Jordan Neely?

Will Alec Baldwin be found guilty of involuntary manslaughter by July 1, 2025?

Will a jury convict Trump?

Will Alec Baldwin be found guilty of a crime before Hunter Biden?

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of a crime before Alec Baldwin?

If Julian Assange is extradited to the US, will he be found guilty?