Resolved after appeals

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if Joel Davis is found guilty of the charge of using a carriage service to menace, harass, or cause offence.
It resolves NO if he is acquitted, or if the charge is dismissed or withdrawn.

Resolution will be based on the final outcome after all appeals are concluded, or 1/1/2027 using verdicts reported by major news outlets where possible.

Background

Joel Davis was arrested following a Telegram post in which he urged followers to respond to a federal MP who had called for him to be prosecuted over a protest. He linked an X post by Member for Wentworth Allegra Spender and added the caption:

“Patriots – I bid thee to rhetorically rape Allegra Spender.”

Davis was charged with using a carriage service to menace, harass, or cause offence. Magistrate Daniel Covington refused bail, stating he believed Davis posed an “unacceptable risk” of reoffending.

Considerations

Davis’s lawyer argued that, if convicted, his client would be unlikely to receive a sentence of full-time imprisonment, while acknowledging that the prosecution had a strong case. The outcome may hinge on judicial interpretation of the statutory terms “menace, harass, or cause offence” as applied to the specific language used in the post.