Combined conditional market on Rayner becoming PM and who she picks as Chancellor of the Exchequer if she does. Please only add Labour MPs as options. (Use the "Other" option if you think a non-Labour MP (other than Burnham) might get the job.) I don't think there are any circumstances under which this market can resolve NA. If you have an edge case that I haven't covered in the small print, please let me know.

Resolves to "Current Role Holder" on this page:

https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/chancellor-of-the-exchequer

If something is wrong with that page, or it ceases to exist, resolves to "Incumbent" on this page:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chancellor_of_the_Exchequer

Otherwise resolves to my judgement, after discussion with market participants.

Small print:

• If the role ceases to exist, market resolves Other

• If the role is renamed, resolves to whoever holds that role

• If something between the above two happens, I'll use my judgement to interpret if there's something close enough to a successor role and resolve to the holder of that role, after discussion with market participants

• If two people share the role, resolves PROB split between those two people. I won't commit to what percentage this is, but will use judgement and discussion with market participants

• I will bet in this market. I think the "judgement" cases are unlikely enough that this is a negligible risk. If you are uncomfortable with this, either ask me to refine the small print or don't bet.

No AI clarifications will be added to this market.