Context: https://manifold.markets/firstuserhere/will-firstuserhere-walk-100000-step?r=Rmlvbg
On 21st December, he walked over 92,000 steps in an attempt to get 100,000. He has said he intends to try again before the end of the year. This market is trying to get at whether he'll feel so close and know he can do it if he tries again, or if he'll be too demotivated/injured to try again (although note that if he tries again but only gets to 84,999 steps, this resolves NO).
Description and title changed slightly from original version, but the resolution criteria should be clear in both. See history.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ823 | |
| 2 | Ṁ132 | |
| 3 | Ṁ129 | |
| 4 | Ṁ111 | |
| 5 | Ṁ95 |
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I have updated the title and the description.
Taking out the conditional from the title, since the condition has been satisfied
Putting the specific resolution criterion in the title rather than having it only in the description (the criterion itself is of course unchanged)
Hopefully a bit more clarity and a bit less late-night excitement in the wording of the description.
Changing pronouns from gender neutral to male (because I noticed that he has used male pronouns for himself in other markets).
@33 you’re absolutely right! And I probably should, until Manifold natively supports this, though my gender can likely be assumed off my name in lieu of this.
Lots of famous male Matt’s who use Matty. As of recent we’ve had: Healy, Matheson, Edgell (from Bakeoff)…etc.
Talking about conditionals, let me advertise my market: https://manifold.markets/Loppukilpailija/will-firstuserhere-walk-100000-step-e2d8d50b9196