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Will Eugen Rochko (creator of Mastodon) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

7% chance

Will Peter thiel be charged with a felony by 2026.

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Will Robert Wiblin (charity organizer, researcher and podcaster) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

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Will Dieter Schwarz (owner of Schwarz Gruppe) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

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Will Peter Thiel be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

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Will Hans Niemann be involved in a cheating controversy before 2033?

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Will I be credibly accused of sexual assault or sexual harassment before 2028?

3% chance

Will Ben Shapiro be criminally charged, indicted, or SEC-sued before 2040?

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Charges dropped, resolving NO https://www.dw.com/en/rammstein-till-lindemann-sexual-assault-probe-dropped/a-66659906

Dutch news is telling me the investigation is being cancelled because they found no evidence. That would lead this to resolving No, if there's no other ongoing investigations

Also open to different operationalisations around the question.

@Fedor What if settle out of court and keep the details secret?

@MaxPayne If they get brought before a court that's good enough, even if they're then settled out of a court, or found not guilty.
This is only about the charges being brought