What will be true of the Japan GP weekend?
34
213
3.7K
resolved Apr 7
Resolved
YES
Russell finishes ahead of Hamilton in the race
Resolved
YES
2 cars DNF after starting the race
Resolved
YES
17+ cars finish the main race
Resolved
YES
At least 1 big crash during the entire weekend (trainings, qualy or race)
Resolved
YES
Q: Between Ferrari and Mercedes, Ferrari qualify higher
Resolved
YES
Q: An Alpine makes it into Q2
Resolved
YES
Q: Verstappen gets pole position
Resolved
YES
Q: Hamilton gets into Q3
Resolved
YES
Verstappen finishes the race
Resolved
YES
Verstappen gets fastest lap (main race)
Resolved
YES
Verstappen wins with an 8 second lead
Resolved
YES
There is a red flag during the race
Resolved
YES
15+ cars finish the race
Resolved
YES
Ferrari score more points than Mercedes
Resolved
N/A
3 red or yellow flags happen during the race
Resolved
NO
Q: Hulkenberg gets into Q3
Resolved
NO
Verstappen leads 1+ seconds after 2 laps (main race)
Resolved
NO
0 cars DNF after starting the race
Resolved
NO
The Market Will Max Verstappen win the Japan GP gets 15+ traders
Resolved
NO
2 drivers of the bottom 5 teams end up in the points (Alpine, Sauber, Williams, Haas, RB Honda)

Side bets for the Japan Grand Prix, you can add your own answers. About both Qualifying (6th of April) and the Grand Prix (7th of April), or about free practice if you want to add those. Markets should reasonably resolve before the GP after starts.

Markets are resolved according to the following criteria: https://gist.github.com/kevinburke/190b4c7fedfae12bc8e115519f4a9541

GUIDELINES:

  • I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

  • Make your answer submissions as clear and descriptive as possible. I reserve the right to rephrase answers as needed.

For your convenience I've prefixed the questions that definitely end after qualification with Q: so you can alphabetically sort them during qualy.

Clarifications:
'Between Ferrari and Mercedes, Ferrari qualify higher' means for the qualifying positions after Q3, before penalties, Ferrari has a car more at the front (1st, 2nd, 3rd, etc) than either Mercedes car.

'At least 1 big crash during the entire weekend (trainings, qualy or race)': A crash can be just 1 person into the wall. Has to not be a little wall collision, has to involve serious damage to the car. By example Zhou in practice in Saudi Arabia would could. Very likely means the car cannot continue another lap.

'17+ cars finish the main race' how many cars finish the last lap of the main race, also means if 1 car doesn't start the race it will be 1 less car that crosses the finish line. This is race cars, the safety car or anything does not count.

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China GP is up in 2 weeks, this one has a sprint race! Track hasn't been visited in some years

3 red or yellow flags happen during the race

yellow - red - yellow

bought Ṁ1,000 Russell finishes ahe... YES

@gocougs There was a red flag at the beginning with the Riccardo crash, a yellow with the Sargeant spin out, but what was the 3rd?

@gocougs There was indeed a yellow flag for about 10 seconds that got transitioned into a red flag in the Riccardo crash.
My bad for phrasing the question like this in the middle of the race, what I intended was to capture the different incidents happening. In that spirit and what people seem to expect from this market I'll resolve it N/A as it is confusing both ways*

Verstappen leads 1+ seconds after 2 laps (main race)

After crossing the finish line of the main race a second time, in the second counting lap of the race there was a safety car, so he did NO lead 1+ seconds. But I won't bet on this answer.

2nd red flag happens

New interesting scenarios.
Also just enabled question creation by everyone, apparently that was off by mistake.

bought Ṁ10,000 Q: An Alpine makes i... YES

Qualifying ongoing right now, with Q2 coming up soon, see if verstappen qualifies for pole

Logan Sargeant crash during training seems to qualify for this, he could not finish the training, and they're having some trouble rebuilding it in time for the next one.