MANIFOLD
What will be true for the 2026 F1 season?
40
Ṁ2.9kṀ5.4k
Dec 7
83%
A driver gets permanently replaced during the season
73%
Hamilton gets a podium finish
69%
Kim Kardashian shown on F1TV in Ferrari garage during main race or qualifying broadcast
68%
A driver at Red Bull Racing gets replaced during the season
65%
Lando Norris finishes WDC in the top 3
63%
A driver misses a race due to health reasons
63%
A technical directive changes regulations to stop a dominant team or forces to change something important in the cars (e.g., flexible wings in 2025, Ferrari in 2022 with TD39)
61%
A team principle gets replaced during the season
59%
A RB or RBR driver is swapped out permanently
57%
No pit crew injuries during any race.
55%
Hadjar scores at least half as many points as Verstappen
51%
Bottas scores more points than Perez
50%
Lance Stroll announces retirement
50%
Neither Cadillac nor Audi finish WCC at the bottom
48%
Eight GP without a full safety car deployment.
44%
WDC winner wins their first title
41%
WCC is won with 5 or more races to go
40%
Lewis Hamilton wins a feature race
39%
Lewis Hamilton announces retirement
38%
A driver gets a race ban due to penalty points

Market context
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Sports
Formula 1
Motorsports
Auto Racing
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@AlexanderTheGreater it must be while the actual session is still going.

bought Ṁ40 YES

@AlexanderTheGreater Easy yes IMO

@AlexanderTheGreater I made a separate market for Ferrari exact finishing position in the WCC: https://manifold.markets/BlitzEver/f1-2026-in-which-position-will-ferr?r=QmxpdHpFdmVy

bought Ṁ10 YES

There are 2 "Hamilton Podium". Is it intended to be this way?

@BlitzEver lol, no. Good catch. I resolved the one without trades as NA

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