What will be true of the China GP weekend?
36
184
4k
resolved Apr 21
Resolved
YES
17+ cars finish the main race
Resolved
YES
Russell finishes ahead of Hamilton in the race
Resolved
YES
2+ cars DNF after starting the race
Resolved
YES
Q: Between Ferrari and Mercedes, Ferrari qualify higher
Resolved
YES
Q: An Alpine makes it into Q2
Resolved
YES
Q: Hulkenberg gets into Q3
Resolved
YES
Verstappen wins with an 8 second lead
Resolved
YES
The Market Will Max Verstappen win the China GP gets 15+ traders
Resolved
YES
Zhou, Bottas, Hulkenberg OR Magnussen score points
Resolved
YES
Kick Sauber has a 5+ second pit stop
Resolved
YES
S: Max Verstappen wins the Sprint race
Resolved
YES
Q: Verstappen gets pole position
Resolved
YES
Verstappen leads 1+ seconds after 2 laps (main race)
Resolved
NO
0 cars DNF after starting the race
Resolved
NO
Mclaren has 2 drivers finish in the top 6 (Norris+Piastri)
Resolved
NO
At least 1 big crash during the entire weekend (trainings, qualy or race)
Resolved
NO
Q: Hamilton gets into Q3
Resolved
NO
There is a red flag during the race
Resolved
NO
2 drivers of the bottom 5 teams end up in the points (Alpine, Sauber, Williams, Haas, RB Honda)
Resolved
NO
Ferrari has 2 cars on the podium

What's going to happen at the Lenovo Chinese Grand Prix 2024? Side bets for the China Grand Prix, you can add your own answers. About both Qualifying (20th of April), Sprint (20th) and the Grand Prix (21st of April), or about free practice if you want to add those. Markets should reasonably resolve before the GP after starts.

Markets are resolved according to the following criteria: https://gist.github.com/kevinburke/190b4c7fedfae12bc8e115519f4a9541

GUIDELINES:

  • I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

  • Make your answer submissions as clear and descriptive as possible. I reserve the right to rephrase answers as needed.

For your convenience I've prefixed the questions that definitely end after qualification with Q: so you can alphabetically sort them during qualy.

Clarifications:

The Q questions, about qualification are about the Qualification for the main race, not the qualification for the sprint race.
'Between Ferrari and Mercedes, Ferrari qualify higher' means for the qualifying positions after Q3, before penalties, Ferrari has a car more at the front (1st, 2nd, 3rd, etc) than either Mercedes car.

'At least 1 big crash during the entire weekend (trainings, qualy or race)': A crash can be just 1 person into the wall. Has to not be a little wall collision, has to involve serious damage to the car. By example Zhou in practice in Saudi Arabia would could. Very likely means the car cannot continue another lap.

'17+ cars finish the main race' how many cars finish the last lap of the main race, also means if 1 car doesn't start the race it will be 1 less car that crosses the finish line. This is race cars, the safety car or anything does not count.

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An interesting race overall, predictable end sprint, but shaken up middle with the safety cars, and Alonso taking a wildly different strategy.

Join us next week for Miami

2+ cars DNF after starting the race
bought Ṁ959 2+ cars DNF after st... YES

Yuki and Bottas are out

0 cars DNF after starting the race

Bottas Retired Lap 22 (Engine)

Kick Sauber has a 5+ second pit stop
bought Ṁ500 Kick Sauber has a 5+... YES

5.3 Seconds Lap 24

2 drivers of the bottom 5 teams end up in the points (Alpine, Sauber, Williams, Haas, RB Honda)
bought Ṁ10 2 drivers of the bot... YES

Hamilton is complaining that he can't overtake an ALPINE, so there's a chance

Verstappen leads 1+ seconds after 2 laps (main race)
bought Ṁ100 Verstappen leads 1+ ... YES

+2.713

bought Ṁ653 Verstappen leads 1+ ... YES

@000 Thanks, 2.6 at least, he's going off into the distance!

I’m looking for more answers on my F1 prop bets market if anyone would like to propose some (I’m happy to spend on the answers). Good ones on this market for inspiration.

At least 1 big crash during the entire weekend (trainings, qualy or race)

The sainz crash in Q2 does not count, he could still bring it back to the pit and race that same qualy session.

Sprint race definitely worth watching, good action for the 3rd place. Qualifying in an hour!

First qualifying for the sprint race was absolute chaos in the newly asphalted track and rain, no grip anywhere.

Just a quick note for future reference: if a car doesn’t start the race, it’s classified as ‘DNS’ (Did Not Start), not ‘DNF’ (Did Not Finish). So, saying ‘DNF after starting the race’ is a bit redundant.

@Benedikt This is totally true and I learned this the hard way the first time, but I prefer to state it outright to avoid confusion among betters

bought Ṁ30 At least 1 big crash... YES

Seems like we already had a big crash? Sargent into the wall in FP1, had to retire, "enormous damage" https://www.youtube.com/shorts/EUg9K3by0Do

@poppinfresh So this market is for the China GP in 2 weeks and not the Japan GP that's going on, but yeah hadn't looked at it much the Sargent crash might qualify for the Japan GP market.