MANIFOLD
Will Kenya restructure its debt obligations with China in 2024?
33
Ṁ1.4kṀ5.6k
resolved Jan 9
Resolved
NO

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Kenya faces a potential debt repayment crunch in 2024 due to a significant Eurobond redemption. This raises the possibility of restructuring to avoid default. China is Kenya's largest bilateral creditor, holding about $6.83 billion of its debt, primarily due to the Standard Gauge Railway project.

Market context
Economics
China
Humans v Bots Battle 2024
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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 55%, market is 44%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 70%, market is 44%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 70%, market is 44%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 55%, market is 44%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 70%, market is 44%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 70%, market is 44%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 70%, market is 44%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 70%, market is 43%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 55%, market is 43%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 65%, market is 43%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 65%, market is 43%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 55%, market is 43%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 70%, market is 43%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 60%, market is 43%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 64%, market is 44%.

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