Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon 2023?
31
560Ṁ23k
resolved Jul 17
Resolved
NO

Roger Federer has announced his retirement from tennis.

While he will stop playing in the ATP tour, he could be granted a wildcard to play at Wimbledon 2023 and get a proper goodbye there.

Resolution Criteria

YES If Federer plays at least 1 Wimbledon singles match in 2023, NO otherwise.

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NamesAreHard boughtṀ5,000NO

@NamesAreHard I’m glad someone has more skin in the game than me 😆

@d now you can sell and make sure @NamesAreHard cant pull mana out without a loss and set up a limit order at 2% to get better profits lol and use that knowledge to trade on the league rankings/profit markets. This is too much work for me, though, so i'll pass xD

@Feanor 😳

@d OH WAIT this wont work as much as i'd hoped xD

@Feanor Yup, I was just writing that I have way too much mana lying around and wouldn't mind parking even more here for a week :D

@NamesAreHard you can get a good rate of interest betting NO on me here. I've already bet Ṁ6,170 on NO for firstuserhere, and if I became likely to win, people would buy YES on it, and I'd lose 6170 mana at least, and wouldn't likely come first anymore xD

predictedNO

@Feanor Doesn't seem risk-free enough at a glance and I'm on a break from Manifold, so I should close the site instead of trying to figure out where to put my mana :D

predictedNO

This can resolve to NO, but @FRCassarino hasn't made a bet for 8 months. I guess he no longer logs in.

predictedNO

"While he will stop playing in the ATP tour, he could be granted a wildcard to play at Wimbledon 2023 and get a proper goodbye there."

This makes me think this was the way for this market to resolve to yes.

predictedNO

@FRCassarino should this market resolve? Or is there still a way for Federer to play a whole singles match even without the wildcard?

How will this resolve if he plays a singles match in wimbledon but not main category? Exhibition or senior?

predictedNO

He said he won't play Grand Slams: "The Laver Cup next week in London will be my final ATP event. I will play more tennis in the future, of course, but just not in Grand Slams or on the tour”
https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2022/sep/15/roger-federer-announces-retirement-from-tennis-after-stellar-career

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