Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon 2023?
31
471
แน€560
resolved Jul 17
Resolved
NO

Roger Federer has announced his retirement from tennis.

While he will stop playing in the ATP tour, he could be granted a wildcard to play at Wimbledon 2023 and get a proper goodbye there.

Resolution Criteria

YES If Federer plays at least 1 Wimbledon singles match in 2023, NO otherwise.

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admin resolved

boughtแน€5,000NO

@NamesAreHard Iโ€™m glad someone has more skin in the game than me ๐Ÿ˜†

@d now you can sell and make sure @NamesAreHard cant pull mana out without a loss and set up a limit order at 2% to get better profits lol and use that knowledge to trade on the league rankings/profit markets. This is too much work for me, though, so i'll pass xD

sold แน€198 of NO

@Feanor ๐Ÿ˜ณ

@d OH WAIT this wont work as much as i'd hoped xD

bought แน€5,000 of NO

@Feanor Yup, I was just writing that I have way too much mana lying around and wouldn't mind parking even more here for a week :D

@NamesAreHard you can get a good rate of interest betting NO on me here. I've already bet แน€6,170 on NO for firstuserhere, and if I became likely to win, people would buy YES on it, and I'd lose 6170 mana at least, and wouldn't likely come first anymore xD

predicted NO

@Feanor Doesn't seem risk-free enough at a glance and I'm on a break from Manifold, so I should close the site instead of trying to figure out where to put my mana :D

predicted NO

This can resolve to NO, but @FRCassarino hasn't made a bet for 8 months. I guess he no longer logs in.

predicted NO

"While he will stop playing in the ATP tour, he could be granted a wildcard to play at Wimbledon 2023 and get a proper goodbye there."

This makes me think this was the way for this market to resolve to yes.

predicted NO

@FRCassarino should this market resolve? Or is there still a way for Federer to play a whole singles match even without the wildcard?

bought แน€1,000 of NO

How will this resolve if he plays a singles match in wimbledon but not main category? Exhibition or senior?

predicted NO
bought แน€20 of NO

He said he won't play Grand Slams: "The Laver Cup next week in London will be my final ATP event. I will play more tennis in the future, of course, but just not in Grand Slams or on the tourโ€
https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2022/sep/15/roger-federer-announces-retirement-from-tennis-after-stellar-career