Will most women accept payment for sex from most men (independently and without any need for managers/pimps) by 2026?
Will most women accept payment for sex from most men (independently and without any need for managers/pimps) by 2026?
60
2026
Yes
No
It seems like the dating world is looking more and more like the CEOs in Mike Judge's Idiocracy every day. But we could also avoid that future (or the even worse timeline stemming from VIP e-girl culture depicted in Cloud Atlas) if women fully and individually control their content and sex work. The sex work future in Idiocracy, and the gender war dystopia in Cloud Atlas, are both simply defined by the fact that managers/pimps never stopped existing in said timelines. And that this reflects the inevitability of the patriarchy. So the question is, will we fully avoid both of those timelines within the next two years? Will the patriarchy be utterly destroyed? Will most women perform sex work, and will they fully manage their own sex work, in another year and a half?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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