Will there be more mana purchased in March 2026 than in December 2025?
31
5.1kแน€4169
Apr 1
50%
chance

As per https://manifold.markets/stats, as measured in dollars spent.

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Now that this market is well established with dozens of traders, it seems like it would be good timing for a decision market add-on that could tie this price to certain actions the Manifold team may or may not take.

Anyone have any ideas for a starting point?

@Eliza more mana sold x whether Evan likes the new system ๐Ÿ˜‚

I like the timeframe, this gives them a full month to prep before the key month. I'm buying Yes as a vote of confidence.

@Eliza Thanks! I was trying to ask something more like "will they figure out something good / will this system actually work" not "is it working yet / are people mad right now".

Baseline appears to be $3100.

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