Will the next Long March 6A launch create space debris? | Manifold

Will the next Long March 6A launch create space debris?

Plus

5

Ṁ1905

Jan 1

11%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Will be based on reporting by credible sources, such as Wikipedia and its sources, Leo Labs, Jonathan McDowell, and US Government reporting.

This rocket seems to have a history of causing debris events.

A derelict stage is not sufficient. The event as a debris event or breakup, with multiple pieces of debris identified.

Close date will be extended as needed. Resolves No if the Long March 6A rocket is cancelled without another launch.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ1,500 NO

https://spacenews.com/china-launches-second-batch-of-18-satellites-for-thousand-sails-megaconstellation/
https://spacenews.com/long-march-6a-launches-third-batch-of-thousand-sails-constellation-satellites/?utm_source=chatgpt.com

They note the history of launch debris but none for these last two launches in october and in december. Resolves NO? @EvanDaniel

Related questions

Will space debris pose a serious risk to our human future in space?

Will China launch and operate a fully reusable spacecraft by 2030?

When will the Long March 10 rocket first reach orbit?

Will Astra's Rocket 4 achieve orbit on its first launch?

Will anyone die from falling debris from a Space X rocket, satellite , or other launch object before the end of 2026?

Will a space trash laser be used to clean orbital debris before 2030?

Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?

2024: Will there be more than 20,000 Objects Launched into Outer Space?

What will be true about SpaceX's deorbit tug

Will an international space-junk clean up initiative begin before 2026?

Related questions

Will space debris pose a serious risk to our human future in space?

Will a space trash laser be used to clean orbital debris before 2030?

Will China launch and operate a fully reusable spacecraft by 2030?

Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?

When will the Long March 10 rocket first reach orbit?

2024: Will there be more than 20,000 Objects Launched into Outer Space?

Will Astra's Rocket 4 achieve orbit on its first launch?

What will be true about SpaceX's deorbit tug

Will anyone die from falling debris from a Space X rocket, satellite , or other launch object before the end of 2026?

Will an international space-junk clean up initiative begin before 2026?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules