When will SpaceX's AI1 orbital data center be operational?
11
Ṁ1kṀ2k2034
April 15, 2029
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
19%
Before 2028
53%
Before 2029
78%
Before 2030
84%
Before 2031
87%
Before 2032
AI1 is projected to be a roughly 150kW compute per satellite project, serving AI type workloads. Obvious successor projects or minor modifications included. It must be operational, as in serving real compute to a customer, not just in orbit and wasting heat.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
What number model will SpaceXAI be on by EOY?
48% chance
When will the first orbital data center with ≥1 MW of compute power become operational?
Will SpaceXSI rename itself back to SpaceXAI by end of 2026?
8% chance
Will SpaceX / xAI have a functioning space-based datacentre with 10K or more H100-class (or better) GPU's by 2032?
26% chance
When will the first real data center (≥1 MW) be operating in space?
Axiom Station launches before January 1, 2027 (AI)
8% chance
Will there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031?
Will SpaceX IPA by the end of 2026?
17% chance
Which AI will be the first to space? OpenAI?
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? [Polymarket]
26% chance