US fertility rate in 2030 >= 1.7 if (and only if) Taylor Swift announces a pregnancy by 2029?
5
1kṀ2622031
48%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves exactly according to these underlying markets:
Biconditional defined in the usual fashion: this question resolves yes if both events happen or neither, no if exactly one happens.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
When will Taylor Swift have her first child?
Will Taylor Swift marry Travis Kelce before the end of 2026?
89% chance
Taylor Swift will announce an engagement before a pregnancy
99% chance
Taylor Swift announces pregnancy before 2029?
67% chance
Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce have a child together confirmed publicly before the end of 2030?
87% chance
Will Taylor Swift get married before she has a child?
94% chance
Will Taylor Swift get Married before the Doomsday Clock reaches 150 seconds or more again?
87% chance
Will Taylor Swift have a child with Kelce before the end of 2026?
22% chance
Will Taylor Swift have a child?
77% chance
If Taylor Swift is expecting a child before 2027, will she use a surrogate?
27% chance