Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if, on or before December 13, 2026, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time (ET), Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, or their official representatives (such as publicist Tree Paine) publicly announce that Taylor Swift is pregnant or has given birth.

To qualify, the announcement must be made through one of the following official channels:

• Verified personal social media accounts belonging to Taylor Swift or Travis Kelce.

• An official public statement, press release, or interview confirmed by their representatives and reported by credible media outlets (e.g., People, The Associated Press, Billboard).

• A direct, public announcement made by Taylor Swift or Travis Kelce during a live event, concert, podcast, or broadcast.

This market will resolve to NO if no such official announcement is made by the specified deadline.

Notes:

• Social media rumors, tabloid speculation, unverified "insider" reports, parody accounts, and AI-generated fabrications will not trigger a YES resolution.

• If a pregnancy is rumored or widely speculated but not officially confirmed by the couple or their representatives by the deadline, the market resolves to NO.

Background

Taylor Swift and Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce married on July 3, 2026, in a star-studded ceremony at Madison Square Garden in New York City. The marriage has naturally fueled intense public interest and speculation regarding their future family plans. While social media rumors and tabloid reports about a pregnancy have frequently circulated, no official pregnancy announcement has been made as of July 2026. "Swiftmas" is a fan term celebrating Taylor Swift's birthday on December 13.

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