Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to YES if Taylor Swift gives birth to a child at any point between January 1, 2027, and December 31, 2027, inclusive (based on the local time of the birth).
Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
Surrogacy/Adoption: Because the prompt specifies "give birth," any child born via gestational surrogate or acquired via adoption will not qualify for a YES resolution.
Sources: Resolution will be determined by official announcements from Taylor Swift, her representatives, or reputable mainstream media organizations (e.g., The Associated Press, People, Billboard).
Timing: If no birth is officially confirmed to have occurred in 2027 by January 15, 2028, the market will resolve to NO.
Background
Taylor Swift and NFL player Travis Kelce married in July 2026 after dating since late 2023. While the couple's relationship has been the subject of frequent tabloid and social media pregnancy speculation, no official plans or pregnancies have been announced by the couple or their representatives as of mid-2026.
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1,000