How much snow will Purgatory ski resort get in 2026-2027?

Question

It's supposed to be a very strong El Niño year, possibly the strongest ever:
@/Logan5ssP9/will-this-el-nino-be-the-strongest

Will that result in a good ski season at Purgatory, in Southwestern Colorado (Durango)?

I'm currently planning to use the annual data from On The Snow. Complaints and better suggestions welcome, provided they come soon.

NWS is predicting better than average, but maybe not spectacular:

[image]For historical data, this snowpack monitoring station is nearby:

https://nwcc-apps.sc.egov.usda.gov/awdb/site-plots/POR/WTEQ/CO/Cascade%20%232.html

Data will be taken season to date as of the actual season close date, regardless of snowfall after they close for the season. If they reopen after the actual normal season close that will not count.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, At least 137" (2024-2025 season), followed by At least 209" (recent average) and At least 282" (2016-2017 season) are most likely. See the market for live updates (3 traders, as of Jul 30, 2026).

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