MANIFOLD
How many grams of ketamine will Musk have consumed by the end of 2025?
6
Ṁ1.1kṀ2.2k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
~28 grams
Resolved
YES
Above 5
Resolved
NO
Above 50
Resolved
NO
Above 100
Resolved
NO
Above 500
Resolved
NO
Above 1000
Resolved
NO
Above 2500

As judged by Grok, when asked on or as soon after 2026-01-01 as I can manage. If Grok won't answer, as judged by some other research-capable AI of my choice, likely starting with Claude and continuing until I find one that will answer. (If I'm not available, mods are welcome to do their best to judge in this spirit.) First answer that provides both a single headline number and at least a little justification.

Status quo answer is 42 grams.

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Resolves to 15 grams.

reposted

Identical prompt as before: https://x.com/i/grok/share/j4rfDrLhQXe3DbyhIojRyEoSR

Got 20g as today's answer.

@EvanDaniel I hope you @ Elon when you tweet Grok to resolve

this is a pretty funny way to resolve this market, I like it

I won't bet, since I don't think there's any way to prove I didn't go answer shopping.

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