Will a Republican win New Mexico for President by 2050?
4
110Ṁ412050
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a Republican wins New Mexico in a presidential election before 2050 (in one of the 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040, 2044, or 2048 elections). Resolves NO if they lose all of them.
If another party displaces the Republicans and they win, I'll still resolve this as NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@basketball stars Awaiting this one! Though it's undoubtedly unlikely, I'm cautiously optimistic about a Republican victory in the near future given the current patterns and demographics in New Mexico. If the party's national tide shifts in their favor, I'll be watching with interest.
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