Will a Republican win Oregon for President by 2050?
2
14
90
2050
35%
chance

Resolves YES if a Republican wins Oregon in a presidential election before 2050 (in one of the 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040, 2044, or 2048 elections). Resolves NO if they lose all of them.

If another party displaces the Republicans and they win, I'll still resolve this as NO.

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Only 65 electoral votes are needed to pass the NPVIC 74 of which are pending, if it passes with no issues before 2050 and a republican president wins the popular vote it guarantees Oregon votes for a republican.

@fredrickslick if that happens I'll go with the popular vote of Oregon if that's released. If not (but elections still happen) I'll probably N/A. If something happens like elections stop happening that would be a No.