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MANIFOLD
Will a Republican win Virginia for President by 2050?
9
Ṁ170Ṁ373
2050
55%
chance

Resolves YES if a Republican wins Virginia in a presidential election before 2050 (in one of the 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040, 2044, or 2048 elections). Resolves NO if they lose all of them.

If another party displaces the Republicans and they win, I'll still resolve this as NO.

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