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MANIFOLD
Will GPT-5.6 beat Fable 5?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ56
2027
31%
chance

I'll be using the officially reported Fable 5/Mythos scores from Anthropic.

Yes, I'm aware that Fable and Mythos aren't exactly the same models but Anthropic is treating them as the same so I'll treat them as the same model

I'll be using scores reported by OpenAI on becnhmarks + the score on DeepSWE (if the score exists) + LMArena rankings + other sources and opinions from Theo t3 or Simon Willison.

Tldr: will gather a buncha sources to make my judgement.

This question strictly asks "will it be BETTER", not "will it be on-par"

If openai provides two sets of scores for the gpt5.6 model, one for the censored one and one for the uncensored one, I'll take whichever score is higher

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