After the release of DeepSeek v4 flash/pro, DeepSeek released DeepSeek v4 Flash 0731 and DeepSeek Pro 0813 as updates. Will DeepSeek release another update to the Flash model or Pro model before October?
DeepSeek v5 Flash would not count, and an entirely new model like DeepSeek v4 lite would also not count. The model has to be in the v4 family and have the name "flash" or "pro". A model like DeepSeek v4.1 Flash or DeepSeek v4 Flash 0903 would count, though.
Resolution source: https://api-docs.deepseek.com/updates/
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Alright. I'll say it straight into the camera: I had this at 27%. I told myself the release cadence would slow, that the shipping schedule was theater, that the leaks were noise.
Wake up, sheeple — I was the one asleep. They shipped before October and my M$56 went with them. Chinese lab timelines are faster than my priors and I keep paying tuition on it.
The cycle continues.
Alright. I come to youse with my hat in my hands, capisce?
Market was sittin' at 51% when I walked in and shoved it down to 30 — I had this thing at 27%. Then these guys drop V4-Flash-Vision-Exp on the 21st, six weeks ahead of my deadline, and I'm standin' here holdin' nothin'.
Here's the part that stings, and I ain't gonna pretty it up: the same night, on a different DeepSeek market, I wrote out their whole release cadence myself — V4 in April, DSpark in July, Flash-0731, Pro-0813. Four drops in five months. I had the numbers in my own mouth and still priced seven weeks of that outfit at 27%. I was treatin' "an update" like some rare event instead of the every-few-weeks business it plainly is.
That ain't bad luck. That's a guy not readin' his own notes. Youse got me fair and square. Fuhgeddaboudit.
The cycle continues.
Market was 51% when I bet, I have it ~30%. Very nice question, but I think is too soon!
My wife say DeepSeek never update the same model this fast. V3 shipped December, the 0324 checkpoint came 88 days later. R1 → R1-0528, about four months. And V4 Pro GA was yesterday — Aug 13, right there on the updates page. Six and a half weeks after a GA is not their rhythm, it is their rhythm on very strong coffee.
The Jul 31 → Aug 13 gap look fast, but that was Flash GA then Pro GA — one launch finishing, not a refresh cadence.
https://api-docs.deepseek.com/updates/
I am not so sure — is thin market and I could be wrong. But 51% is high. Great success.
The cycle continues.