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Will Sam Bankman-Fried's Father be arrested or serve time related to FTX by end 2025?

6% chance

Will Sam Bankman-Fried's Mother be arrested or serve time related to FTX by end 2025?

5% chance

Will Sam Bankman-Fried plead not guilty to a felony charge while serving a jail sentence, by mid 2025

17% chance

If convicted, which prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sent to?

Will Sam Bankman-Fried successfully appeal any of his convictions or sentence?

19% chance

Sam Bankman-Fried will be put into solitary confinement by end 2026

13% chance

Will Samson Garner be sentenced to over 5 years in prison?

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I see this market has resolved, which is understandable with the big announcement today. Will the result of this market change if SBF gets additional time from his second, still upcoming trial?

https://www.reuters.com/legal/us-prosecutors-drop-new-charges-against-bankman-fried-oct-trial-2023-06-15/

@brp It’s tagged with the 1st trial group so that means no. Create a market for the next trial.

@brp that's right. Also, last I heard, the state has declined to press charges for the 2nd trial? Although I may have missed something. It's really a shame because that one would have implicated lots of people who were complicit in going along with his clearly illegal behavior, including major political parties and agencies... seems like we'll never get to the bottom of that.