Will Justin Trudeau be Canada's Prime Minister on October 10, 2026?
Will Justin Trudeau be Canada's Prime Minister on October 10, 2026?
15
1kṀ12k
2026
1%
chance

(Cuban independence day)

  • Update 2025-06-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Clarification:

    • The market will need to wait until the end date to resolve to maintain the question format's integrity.

    • Questions phrased as "will he still be PM" could be eligible for early resolution.

    • Removal from office before the resolution date does not automatically result in a 'NO' outcome, as the position could be revoked or overturned.

Canada
Justin Trudeau
Cuba
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5mo

Will you resolve early or do we have to wait until the end date?

5mo

@RaphaelBon tough question. Seems we do need to wait, since otherwise this question format would be broken in general.

Ie "will Trump be president on July 20 2027" doesn't insta NO if he were removed from office, cause it might be revoked or overturned.

If the claim said "will he STILL be pm" the case would be strong to early resolve

5mo

@Ernie Yes sounds reasonable! THANKS!

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